With Carlos Alcaraz sidelined, the 2026 French Open is Jannik Sinner’s to lose.
The World No. 1 has ripped off 29 straight wins and gained 5 Masters titles throughout that span. Maybe most spectacular is the truth that Sinner has misplaced simply three units throughout his present rip.
It’s loopy to assume that 4 months in the past, we had been questioning if Sinner had fallen too far behind Alcaraz after the previous dropped two of his first seven matches of the marketing campaign.
With no Alcaraz to steadiness out the books, Sinner is a prohibitive -280 favourite (FanDuel Sportsbook) to finish the profession Grand Slam with a triumph on the French Open.
Sinner’s possibilities had been solely helped by Thursday’s draw, which positioned him in 1 / 4 devoid of any reputable landmines. Maybe he will get caught by rising teen Martin Landaluce in Spherical 3, however that might be a real stunner. His more than likely foe within the quarterfinals, Ben Shelton, has misplaced 9 straight to the Italian.
The upshot of getting a heavy, in-form favourite on the prime of the board is that you will see that some tempting costs on gamers which have successful upside if Sinner slips up.
And we’ll begin with one of many two gamers who’ve defeated Sinner in 2026.
2026 French Open picks
Novak Djokovic (16/1, DraftKings)
I feel it’s honest to say that Djokovic saves his bullets for the Grand Slam as of late. He’s performed simply two occasions since he misplaced to Alcaraz within the Australian Open Ultimate, and he was final seen shedding to World No. 79 Dino Prizmic within the Spherical of 64 on the Rome Masters.
That defeat might scare some people off Djokovic, nevertheless it was his first match in a few months, and it’s develop into a behavior for him to get upset in non-majors as he will get into form for the slams. It doesn’t fear me, particularly for the reason that 24-time Grand Slam champion bought a plum draw.
He’ll seemingly should cope with Joao Fonseca and one in every of Tommy Paul or Casper Ruud in Spherical 4, however issues may have appeared way more daunting for Djokovic, who hasn’t misplaced earlier than the quarterfinals on the French Open since 2009.
With a win over Sinner in a Grand Slam already in his account this 12 months, Djokovic is value a have a look at a reduced value.
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Arthur Son (27/1, FanDuel)
Quarter 4, which is headlined by the second favourite Alexander Zverev, is definitely essentially the most compelling of this match.
Becoming a member of Zverev are two of the game’s most promising up-and-comers, Rafael Jodar and Arthur Fils, in addition to Taylor Fritz.
The value on Fils stands out.
Not solely has Fils been terrific through the clay-court season, however he’ll have the backing of the group as he tries to develop into the primary Frenchman since Yannick Noah in 1983 to win Roland Garros.
Daniil Medvedev (50/1, DraftKings)
Like with Djokovic, you’re getting a little bit of a value reprieve on Medvedev within the futures marketplace for a few causes.
The Russian hasn’t fared effectively in latest Grand Slams, nor has he been past the quarterfinals at Roland Garros, however he’s one of many few gamers on this area that would give Sinner issues.
Medvedev is 7-10 lifetime towards the World No. 1, and has performed two extremely aggressive matches towards him in 2026. He took a set off Sinner within the semifinals of the Rome Masters, and misplaced a pair of tiebreakers within the closing on the Indian Wells Masters in March.
The Russian is mercurial and will very effectively exit within the first two rounds, but when he’s bought his wits in Paris, he shall be harmful.
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Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, however a long-profiting sports activities bettor with 10 years of expertise within the playing trade. He loves utilizing recreation concept to assist punters win bracket swimming pools, discover lengthy photographs, and discover ways to beat the market in mainstream and area of interest sports activities.
